Despite sitting second-to-last in the #WNBA standings and having been eliminated from playoff contention, the SBIA Model is quite high on the Seattle Storm tonight as +8.5-point underdogs and +325 on the moneyline at the Atlanta Dream in the lone game of Wednesday and shown on NBA TV.
The top eight teams make the WNBA playoffs and Atlanta (17-20) sits seventh and on the verge of clinching a spot – the Dream has missed the playoffs four straight years. They come off a 91-85 OT loss at Minnesota last Friday. There were a total of 13 lead changes and 11 ties and neither team led by double digits. Atlanta shot an ugly 32-of-88 (36.4%) from the field and 5-of-19 (26.3%) from deep.
Cheyenne Parker led the #atlantadream in scoring for the fourth straight game as she had 20 points, her 10th game of the season with 20+ points and fourth in a row. Parker is third on the team in scoring at 14.9 ppg, behind Rhyne Howard (17.5) and Allisha Gray (17.2). Atlanta is 7-12 away but 10-8 at home. The Dream are 4-10 against the spread in their past 14 overall.
Seattle (11-26) was blown out 103-77 at league-best Las Vegas on Saturday. The Aces won the fourth quarter 28-10. Jewell Loyd paced the Storm with 28 points and 10 rebounds, her first double-double of the season and first since July 18, 2018.
Loyd has been one bright spot this year for Seattle as she leads the WNBA in scoring at 24.3 ppg and has scored at least 25 points in 18 games, the most by any player in 2023 and the second-most all-time. She has 852 total points this year. The previous WNBA record had been 860 by Diana Taurasi in 2006, but New York’s Breanna Stewart broke Taurasi’s mark on Tuesday and has 871 points. The WNBA implemented a new 40-game regular-season slate this year, up from 36 in 2022. Stewart has played three more games than Loyd has.
The Storm are 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight after a loss and 7-2-1 ATS in their past 10 on the road. #TakeCover are also 4-1 ATS in the past five against the Dream.
The teams have split this year, with Atlanta winning by 10 at home on July 12 and Seattle winning by a point at home on Aug. 10 as Loyd converted a three-point play with 13.1 seconds left. The Storm trailed by as many as 16.