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Ravens vs. Browns NFL Week 4: Lamar Jackson unbeaten ATS as regular-season underdog

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has the Cleveland Browns right where he wants them for Sunday’s game AFC North matchup in Ohio: As 3-point favorites. Jackson is an amazing 11-0-1 against the spread in his #NFL regular-season career (average spread of +3.2), and the Ravens are on an absurd 19-3-1 ATS run in their last 23 games as dogs overall – 1-0 this year thanks to a Week 2 win in Cincinnati.


Jackson seems almost more comfortable this year now that he has a long-term extension as the former Heisman winner is completing 73.3% of his passes to go with 193 rushing yards. He is the only player in NFL history with a 70% completion rate & at least 150 rushing yards in his team’s first three games of a season. Jackson had 101 yards rushing in last Sunday’s upset loss to the Colts, his 13th career 100-yard game but only second loss with one.



Lamar Jackson has been money as an underdog.

#RavensFlock should get a huge boost up front with both Pro Bowl offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley and center Tyler Linderbaum expected to return from injury. However, receivers Odell Beckham Jr. (a former Brown) and Rashod Bateman are in question. OBJ missed Week 3.


Back in January, the #Browns hired Jim Schwartz as their new defensive coordinator and that has paid off big time. Cleveland has allowed the fewest yards (491) by any team through three games since the 1999 Buccaneers. The Browns’ 10.7 points per game allowed would be the lowest for a full season in the NFL since that historic 2000 Ravens team allowed only 10.3 ppg on the way to winning the Super Bowl.


Cleveland is 2-0 SU & ATS at home, winning both games by at least 21 points. Prior to this year, they had gone 70 straight home games without a 21+ point win. The #DawgPound last won three straight home games by at least 21 points in 1962-63.


This is just the fourth time where both franchises enter a meeting with winning records and first since Week 12 in 2021. It’s the third career matchup between Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson, but first with Watson on the Browns. The Ravens won the first two matchups against Watson’s Houston Texans by a combined score of 74-23.


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