Where the Magic Happens

Our college basketball model provides expert betting picks throughout the entire NCAA Basketball season, including March Madness. We analyze each college basketball game to provide our clients with positive expected value in sports betting. This provides opportunities for the casual or professional sports bettor.

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While our NCAAB picks modeling approach is similar to our NBA methodology, there are some specifics that must be handled differently. We've discussed volume: the larger the volume of teams and games, the better the outcome. This is because we can be more selective in our sports betting picks.

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NCAAMB has more than 10 times the number of teams than the NBA. There is a much wider range of ability within those teams. The strength of the opponent must be strongly considered in our evaluation of team performances. This will help us to project how that team will perform in the future. 

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Using our player and team-level metrics, the ability of opposing teams and players is always considered. We accurately assess team and player abilities by evaluating every performance relative to opponent strength. This ensures that we are not deceived by the strength of the opponent's schedule.

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Additionally, we are dealing with collegiate players instead of professionals that are still honing their skills and vary greatly in their development. On a team level, roster construction can change dramatically from year-to-year. For these reasons, as well as a shorter season, we allow for faster adjustments so we can quickly converge to their true ability.

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Taking these adjustments into consideration, we dial in the spots where we make plays on a college basketball match-up. We may avoid games where the result of the sports bet is not a product of the skill difference between the teams.

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Overall, we've adapted our basketball approach in the college environment. We have found an optimal balance of selecting the best NCAA Basketball picks while still retaining our key unit generating feature - volume. Our model provides full game moneyline, totals, and spread bets.